Plenary Lecture
Branching Processes and the
Problem of Admixture of Neanderthal Mitochondrial DNA to Archaic H. Sapiens

Professor Krzysztof A. Cyran
Institute of Informatics
Silesian University of Technology
Gliwice, Poland
E-mail: Krzysztof.Cyran@polsl.pl
Abstract: A lot of relevant discoveries
have been recently made in the area of origin of modern humans. The first
goal of the lecture is to review some known facts about the relationship
between populations of H. neanderthalensis and Upper Paleolithic H. sapiens.
The second goal is to infer the upper limit of hypothetical Neanderthal
mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) admixture, consistent with the testimony of
sequences genotyped from contemporary modern humans and fossils of
Neanderthals and archaic H. sapiens living at the same time in Europe.
Because the PCR amplification of mtDNA present in one cell in multiple
copies is relatively easy, the mtDNA-based inferences have became an
important source of knowledge about origin of H. sapiens. Therefore,
successful sequencing of the mtDNA from Neanderthal fossils can be
considered as the milestone in revealing our evolutionary paths. For
example, until recently, the estimation of the mtDNA mutation rate could
rely only on human-chimpanzee divergence data. However, due to relatively
long time to this divergence, all estimates of this time were very
inaccurate ranging from 4 to 9 million years. Consequently, estimated
mutation rate could not be accurate and it is also true for mitochondrial
Eve dating.
Situation changed after 1997, when for the first time the mtDNA from H.
neanderthalensis dated to be alive about 40,000 years ago was sequenced.
However, only fewer than 400 base pairs were sequenced, hence any estimates
based on this data were not very reliable. The next successful sequencings
of Neanderthal mtDNA in 1999 and 2000 confirmed the accuracy of the first
experiment. In 2004 the four additional Neanderthal fossils yielded mtDNA
sequences together with five early modern humans fossils and the results
were corroborating with previous sequencing efforts.
What is also important, some fossils sequenced by Serre et al. in 2004,
contained examples named Vandija 77, Vandija 80, Mladec 25c and Mladec 2,
considered by multiregionalists as “transitional” forms between Neanderthals
and archaic modern humans. Yet the mtDNA proved to be of Neanderthal type
for Vandija fossils considered as Neanderthals, and of modern human type for
Mladec fossils, considered as modern humans. This is exactly what is
expected by recent out-of-Africa model of modern human evolution. Serre and
his colleagues, apart from reporting these results, tried to estimate the
upper limit of possible Neanderthal admixture to Upper Paleolithic H.
sapiens, consistent with mtDNA record. The numerical value of the estimate
equal to 25 percent is given only for the simplest case of population with
constant size, known, however, to be unrealistic.
In the lecture it will be shown how to estimate similar limit using
branching processes and computer simulations methodology. Obtained results
further reduce the maximum hypothetical Neanderthal mtDNA admixture to early
modern humans gene pool to about 15 percent. Remarkably, branching processes
have been recently used also for inferring the age of the primate last
common ancestor, basing on archeological stratification and the number of
species known to be alive in a given period. Finally, the consequences of
the maximum admixture of 15% for two competing theories of modern human
origin will be discussed.
Brief Biography of the Speaker:
Krzysztof Cyran was born in 1968, in Cracow, Poland. He received MSc degree
in computer science (1992) and PhD degree (with honours) in technical
sciences with specialty in computer science (2000) from the Silesian
University of Technology SUT, Gliwice, Poland. His PhD dissertation
addresses the problem of image recognition with the use of computer
generated holograms applied as ring-wedge detectors. In 2003-2004 he was a
Visiting Scholar in Department of Statistics at Rice University in Houston,
US. He is currently the Assistant Professor and the Vice-Head of the
Institute of Informatics at SUT.
Dr Cyran has received several awards of the Rector of the SUT for his
scientific achievements. In 2004-2005 he was a member of International
Society for Computational Biology. He is a member of the Editorial Board of
Journal of Biological Systems and a reviewer for Optoelectronic Review,
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, and Studia Informatica.
He has been an author and co-author of more than 60 technical papers in
journals (several of them indexed by Thomson Scientific) and conference
proceedings, and has been involved in numerous statutory projects led at the
Institute and some scientific grants awarded by the State Committee for
Scientific Research. His current research interests are in image recognition
and processing, artificial intelligence, digital circuits, decision support
systems, rough sets, computational population genetics and bioinformatics.