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Plenary Lecture

Mathematical Modeling of Forest Fire Initiation



Professor Valeriy Perminov
Belovo Branch of Kemerovo State University
Sovetskaya Street 41, Belovo,
Kemerovo region Russia, 652600.

Email: p_valer@mail.ru,

 

Abstract: A mathematical model for the description of heat and mass transfer processes at forest fire initiation has been designed. This model is based on an analysis of known experimental data and using concept and methods from reactive media mechanics. Within the framework of this model, the forest and combustion products are considered as a homogeneous two temperatures, reacting, non - deformed medium. Temperatures of condensed (solid) and gaseous phases are separated out. The first includes a dry organic substance, moisture (water in the liquid-drop state), condensed pyrolysis and combustion products (coke, ash) and mineral part of forest fuels. In the gaseous phase we separate out only the components necessary to describe reactions of combustion (oxygen, combustible products of pyrolysis of forest fuels and the rest inert components). The solid phase constituting forest fuels has no intrinsic velocity, and its volumetric fractions, as compared to the gaseous phase, can be neglected in appropriate equations because a volume unit of wood. It is considered that 1) the flow has a developed turbulent nature, molecular transfer being neglected, 2) gaseous phase density doesn't depend on the pressure because of the low velocities of the flow in comparison with the velocity of the sound, 3) forest canopy is supposed to be non-deformed porous medium. The research is done by means of mathematical modeling of physical processes. It is based on numerical solution of Reynolds equations for chemical components and equations of energy conservation for gaseous and condensed (for canopy) phases. To describe the transfer of energy by radiation we use a diffusion approximation. It should be noted that the system of equations describes processes of transfer within the entire region of the forest massif, which includes the space between the underlying surface and the base of the forest canopy, the forest canopy and the space above it, while the appropriate components of the data base are used to calculate the specific properties of the various forest strata and the near-ground layer of atmosphere. This approach substantially simplifies the technology of solving problems of predicting the state of the medium in the fire zone numerically. The boundary-value problem we solve numerically using the method of splitting according to physical processes. In the first stage, the hydrodynamic pattern of flow and distribution of scalar functions was calculated. The system of ordinary differential equations of chemical kinetics obtained as a result of splitting was then integrated. A discrete analog was obtained by means of the control volume method using the SIMPLE like algorithm. The accuracy of the program was checked by the method of inserted analytical solutions. The time step was selected automatically. Fields of temperature, velocity, component mass fractions, and volume fractions of phases were obtained numerically. At the moment of ignition the gas combustible products of pyrolysis burn away, and the concentration of oxygen is rapidly reduced. The temperatures of both phases reach a maximum value at the point of ignition. The ignition processes is of a gas-phase nature—that is, initial heating of solid and gaseous phases occurs and moisture is evaporated. Then the decomposition process into condensed and volatile pyrolysis products starts, the later being ignited in the forest canopy. Note also that the transfer of energy from the fire source takes place due to radiation; the value of radiation heat flux density is small compared to that of the convective heat flux. As a result of heating of forest fuel elements, moisture evaporates, and pyrolysis occurs accompanied by the release of gaseous products, which then ignite. We can note that the isosurfaces of temperature are deformed by the action of wind. In the vicinity of the source of heat and mass release, heated air masses and products of pyrolysis and combustion float up. The wind field in the forest canopy interacts with the gas-jet obstacle that forms from the forest fire source and from the ignited forest canopy. Recirculating flow forms beyond the zone of heat and mass release, while on the windward side the movement of the air flowing past the ignition region accelerates. Under the influence of the wind the tilt angle of the flame is increased. As a result this part of the forest canopy, which is shifted in the direction of the wind from the center of the surface forest fire source, is subjected to a more intensive warming up. Mathematical model and the results of the calculation give an opportunity to evaluate critical condition of the forest fire initiation, which allows applying the given model for estimation of preventing forest fires conditions.


Brief Biography of the Speaker:
Surname or Family Name: Perminov
First name: Valeriy
Birth date: October, 22 1958

Degrees:

1995 - Candidate of Science in Fluid mechanics Tomsk State University (this degree is equivalent to a doctorate degree - Ph.D in Fluid Mechanics).
1981 - Diploma as mathematics, Kemerovo State University.

Positions held:

1997 - up to now - Deputy Director and Lecture (Assistant professor), Belovo Branch of Kemerovo State University.
1995-1996 - Assistant Professor of physical mechanics department at the faculty of mechanics and mathematics of the Tomsk State University.
1988-1995 - Senior research worker of physical mechanics department of Tomsk State University.
1984-1987 - A post-graduate student of physical mechanic department of Tomsk State University
1982-1983 - A probability student of physical mechanics department of Tomsk State University.
1981 - An assistant of the department of High mathematics, Kemerovo Technological Institution.
Courses

Tomsk State University:

1. Programming (FORTRAN, PASCAL) - 1994-1996.
2. Numerical methods of mechanics of continuous media - 1995-1996.
3. Mechanics of reacting media and ecology - 1995 – 1996.
4. Forest Fire Physics - 1996.

Belovo Branch of Kemerovo State University:

1. High mathematics – 1996 – up to now.
2. Differential Equations - 1997- 1999
3. Mechanics of continuous media - 1997- 2006.
4. Numerical methods - 1997- up to now
5. Mathematical modeling - 2000-up to now

My scientific interests are connected with the application of the methods of mechanics of reacting medium to the forest fires and ecological problems of environmental pollution. Mainly, it is a problem of creation of mathematical models for description of forest fires. Besides, I apply numerical methods for solution of partial differential equation systems, which are used in these models for description of forest fires. I've compiled some computer programs (I prepared my programs with the FORTRAN language. I have published over 80 papers in different editions. I took part in Russian and international grants. I took part in different all Russian and international conferences devoted to the problems of transfer processes, forest fires and ecology.


 

 

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